Legendary oil investor T. Boone Pickens, Jr., appeared on CNBC yesterday and said that, contrary to some statements he made a few weeks ago, he sees the price of oil holding around and above $100 a barrel for the rest of 2008 (Three videos can be accessed from CNBC’s website here). Pickens said:
I thought oil in the second quarter could come off $10, but I don’t think that’s going to happen. In the second half, you’re going to see oil above $100.
The founder of Mesa Petroleum added:
Demand is off, but supply is still 85 million barrels a day, globally. You’ve got the Chinese and other markets around the world that want the oil, need the oil, and demand’s going up and you’re still capped off at 85 million supply.
Reuters’ New York Energy Desk wrote yesterday:
Pickens said global energy demand growth remained strong despite a U.S. economic slowdown and that energy companies were having a hard time finding and developing new reserves.
“The major oil companies have peaked on their production. It’s awful hard for them to add to their reserves and their production,” he said. “The major oil companies are in liquidation.”
In addition, they noted that OPEC will be quick to defend the high prices:
He added that OPEC producers, who have declined to raise production despite calls from consumer nations for more supply, were also likely to defend high prices.
“Look at the producer countries. They have all kinds of reasons to keep the price up and they’re going to keep the price up,” he said.
And what does the “Oracle of Oil” think about those calling for a return to cheap oil in the future? According to Reuters:
Pickens said that it would take a much deeper economic downturn to pull prices back down to some of the lows around $50 a barrel seen early in 2007.
“The only way I could see that happen is a global recession… a serious global recession,” he said. “I don’t believe I will ever see $50 oil ever again.”
He also warned against the energy policies of the U.S. presidential candidates, saying they were ignorant of the issue.
During his appearance on CNBC yesterday, the well-known oilman also talked about the subject of alternative energy. He said:
We’re spending about $1.5 billion a day — $500 to $600 billion a year — on imported oil. That’s four times the cost of the Iraqi war. We can’t continue to do that. In 10 years you will have transferred wealth from the United States to the producing countries of about $5 or $6 trillion. That won’t work. I’m not sure what it’s going to do to us to remove that much wealth out of this country. We have got to get on alternative fuels in the United States. That’s all there is to it.

Photo by Johan Bolhuis
Source: stock.xchng
CNBC’s Andrew Fisher wrote:
Pickens says he’s bullish on natural gas as well as oil, and he has a portfolio to prove it.
“My… picks for natural gas would be Chesapeake, Exco, Sandridge, and, if you’re going to play the natural-gas fueling deal, you’d go to Clean Energy Fuels on the Nasdaq,” he said. “If you’re going to play oil, on the domestics, I would say that Continental Resources and Denbury are the two best, plus Suncor, the Canadian oil-sands one. Those are all in my portfolio.”
Carl Gutierrez, writing for Forbes’ Market Scan, reported yesterday that shares of Clean Energy Fuels Corp. spiked 9.8%, or $1.16, to $13.03, in late-afternoon trading after Pickens’ statement. Pickens, Gutierrez notes, is the co-founder and largest shareholder of the company. According to Ronald Oster of Broadpoint Capital, “Boone has a pretty good track record. People were laughing when he was calling for $100 oil way back when, and this is the alternative energy stock that’s he’s chosen, so it lends it a lot of credibility.”
Another alternative energy that T. Boone Pickens is bullish on is wind power. According to CNBC yesterday, he’s investing $10 billion in a major wind-power deal. CNBC’s Lee Brodie wrote in the Fast Money Rapid Recap yesterday:
Earlier on CNBC, Pickens told Dylan Ratigan, “We’re working seriously on a wind deal that will be 4,000 megawatts… 4,000 megawatts is gonna cost us about $10 billion dollars, so I’m committing a lot of capital to it.”
Pickens also said, “You’ve got an unbelievable wind corridor from Sweetwater, Texas to the Canadian border, and that could be – you could do it, a lot of that 150,000 megawatts in that corridor.”
The “Fast Money” video clip can be accessed from CNBC’s website here.
Sources:
“Pickens: Oil Going to Remain Above $100 a Barrel”
Andrew Fisher
CNBC, March 25, 2008
“Pickens sees $100 oil through 2008”
New York Energy Desk
Reuters, March 25, 2008
“Market Scan: Boone Pickens Picks Clean Energy”
Carl Gutierrez
Forbes, March 25, 2008
“Fast Money Rapid Recap: T. Boone’s Energy Plan”
Lee Brodie
CNBC, March 25, 2008
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