Dr. Mark Mobius, the executive chairman of Templeton Asset Management who is known for his emerging markets expertise, is all over the financial newsscape these days. The following are a battery of links to all things Mobius:

Mobius Recommends S. African, Turkish Stocks, Palladium: Video
Bloomberg, September 4, 2008

Mobius Says Templeton ‘Sitting Tight’ on Thailand Stocks: Video
Bloomberg, September 4, 2008

“Templeton May Add Thai Stocks on Losses, Mobius Says (Update1)”
Susan Li, Chen Shiyin
Bloomberg, September 4, 2008

“Mobius picks South Africa as most attractive market”
Drazen Jorgic
Citywire (UK), September 3, 2008

“FUND VIEW-Templeton’s Mobius sees S.Africa growth”
Peter Apps
Reuters (Africa), September 2, 2008

“China and Russia Are Still Great Investments: Mobius”
CNBC, September 1, 2008

“INTERVIEW: Mobius says all to play for in Turkey”
David O’Byrne
Business New Europe (Germany), September 1, 2008

“UPDATE 1-Templeton’s Mobius likes Russia despite Georgia”
Dan Burns, Herbert Lash
Reuters, August 29, 2008

Earlier today, legendary investors Marc Faber and Mark Mobius talked about Thailand as the Southeast Asian country wrestles with political instability. Thailand’s SET Index dropped to a 19-month low Tuesday after Prime Minister Samak Sundaravej declared a state of emergency following clashes between pro and anti-government demonstrators.

Marc Faber, the famous Swiss-born investor who resides in Thailand, appeared on Bloomberg Television this morning from Bangkok and talked about the political crisis, the economy, and the investment outlook for Thailand. The editor of The Gloom Boom & Doom Report said:

Thailand is essentially a political mess. The economy is not very dynamic, and it will continue to kind of move ahead slowly…

But at the same time, these people look for a strong stock market. I think that will be misplaced. At the same time, Thai shares are inexpensive. You can buy lots of Thai companies at a dividend yield of between 5 and 8 percent. So, that will give some support to the market.

Templeton Asset Management’s Mark Mobius also addressed the Thailand situation when he appeared on CNBC this morning. The emerging markets veteran said:

We are bullish on Thailand long-term. And we have been for quite some time because we think that these political disturbances sort of refresh the political climate and pushes for reform. So, we think after this is over, things will be good…

Based on our experience, from many, many years in Thailand, things will get better. There’s no question about that. You may have to wait for a while. But the interesting thing about the market is it hasn’t come down very much in the face of these demonstrations. So, I would like to see some further correction in the market before going back in.

(CNBC: How much of a correction?)

20, 30 percent like that.

You can view 9 minute 14 second Faber segment here.

You can view the 3 minute 31 second Mobius segment here.

Sources:

Marc Faber Interview
Bloomberg, September 2, 2008

Mark Mobius Interview
CNBC, September 2, 2008

Mark Mobius’ faith in emerging markets remains strong, despite growing political concerns over Pakistan and Russia. Charlotte Banks wrote on the website for the London-based publication Professional Adviser earlier today:

Despite an unstable stockmarket and rising political uncertainty, Mark Mobius, executive chairman of Templeton Asset Management, believes that Pakistan still offers long-term value…

“It is a big and important country which is full of very intelligent people so there is no reason why they shouldn’t do quite well,” he said.

Turning his attentions to another emerging market which has raised political concerns for investors, Russia, Mobius says he hasn’t been put off and he is not concerned about investing there.

“The problems are not going to scare us away from Russia - in the long term we think the country is going to be fine and will not be avoiding it in any way,” he said. “In the long term, the country is too important to ignore.”

Square of Europe, Moscow

Source:

“Mobius points to Pakistan as a long-term winner”
Charlotte Banks
Professional Adviser (UK), August 29, 2008

Yesterday, Koh Gui Qing of Reuters India talked about the recent political upheaval in Pakistan and its effects on the domestic financial markets. Qing wrote:

Pakistan’s financial markets will increasingly miss the political stability under Pervez Musharraf as the country’s nascent but turbulent transformation to democracy from dictatorship keeps foreign investors away.

Some analysts said although Pakistan’s transformation into a democracy will get the thumbs-up from investors in the long run, the jostle for power may deter foreign investors in the near term and limit any market recovery…

Pakistan’s stock market is at a new two-year low and the rupee has weakened to a new record low.

Emerging markets veteran Mark Mobius offered his views on the situation in Pakistan to Reuters. According to Qing:

“The departure of Musharraf does not necessarily mean that stability and a guarantee of U.S. aid is out the window,” said Mark Mobius, executive chairman at Templeton Asset Management.

Mobius said Pakistan’s stock market has “probably already discounted the worst case scenario”.

Source:

“Pakistan’s rocky road to democracy deters investors”
Koh Gui Qing
Reuters (India), August 27, 2008

Bloomberg interviewed emerging markets veteran Mark Mobius, who shared his belief that Vietnamese stocks have tremendous investment potential. Bloomberg’s Van Nguyen wrote this morning:

Vietnam’s stock market offers investment opportunities after a 45 percent slump this year, said Mark Mobius, executive chairman of Templeton Asset Management Ltd.

“Vietnam’s stock market now is down, so there are more opportunities,” Mobius said in an interview in Ho Chi Minh City, where Templeton opened its Vietnam representative office today. “The market will go up and will be much more valuable in about three years.”

Mobius, who oversees about $40 billion in emerging-market equities, is increasing Templeton’s investments in Vietnam after it bought a 49 percent stake in the fund management unit of Joint-Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, known as Vietcombank Fund Management, earlier this year.

Ho Chi Minh City (Saigon), Vietnam

Nguyen noted the sectors Templeton’s Mobius is targeting. From the Bloomberg piece:

In Vietnam, Templeton will invest in retail banking, manufacturing and agriculture companies on Ho Chi Minh City’s stock exchange, Mobuis said. He expects the country’s economy to expand about 6 percent this year.

Source:

“Vietnam’s Stock Market Attractive for Investors, Mobius Says”
Van Nguyen
Bloomberg, August 22, 2008

Legendary emerging markets investor Mark Mobius, who oversees about $40 billion in emerging-market equities as executive chairman of Templeton Asset Management Ltd. in Singapore, spoke to Bloomberg yesterday from Ho Chi Minh City. From the interview:

BLOOMBERG: Why the slide in emerging markets? Is it overdone?
MOBIUS: I think it is. The market has come down a lot. In fact, in China, in the Asia market, it’s come down far more than that. So, we’ve seen a very, very big correction in many places around the world in emerging markets. And it seems to be overdone, but not necessarily over, because, you know, the sentiment is bad globally so that there’s a tendency for people to sell out, and stay out, until they see an about-face in the market.

Some notable excerpts from the interview included:

Commodities

I think that the demand for these commodities is going to continue at a pretty high level. Of course, much higher than there has been in the past, simply because of the demands from China, India, and these other countries that are growing at the paces I just mentioned. So I think it’s more of a correction, rather than a significant secular downturn in these markets and the commodity markets.

U.S. Dollar

BLOOMBERG: Would you not be particularly bullish on the dollar as well?
MOBIUS: No, I wouldn’t, given the propensity of the U.S. government to spend the way they’re spending and to have new ventures against Russia in Eastern Europe, and so forth and so on. I think, unless these policies change in a new administration, I don’t see how the U.S. dollar can keep at a strong level.

Russia

We’ve been, and have been increasingly comfortable, with our investments in Russia. We’ve made an awful lot of money in Russia, both on the private equity side as well as the public side. And, things are getting better in Russia. I think the situation that we’re seeing with Georgia is an anomaly… I think that this will blow over and Russia will continue to be a very important place for us to be putting our money.

Brazil

Brazil, of course, is at the top of the list in terms of weighting in our funds at this time… But generally speaking, the banks are doing very well, very profitable. Petrobras, Vale do Rio Doce, extremely profitable companies.

India

The Indian market, finally for us value investors, has become more interesting, because of the downturn you just mentioned. So some of these companies are beginning to look quite attractive— some of the pharma companies, some of the software companies, and even some of the commodity companies, because you know India, has iron ore and produces a lot of steel. So, we’re looking at that more carefully, and we think they are good opportunities at this stage of the game. We were quite underweight in India for a long time because of the valuations.

Vietnam

The economy is thriving, and things are moving ahead… and we’re pretty optimistic about the longer-term future of the country.

You can listen to the 14 minute 26 second interview here.

Source:

Mark Mobius Interview
Bloomberg, August 20, 2008

Emerging markets veteran Mark Mobius doesn’t think the recent selloff in commodities is the end of a boom which started back in 1999. Pratima Desai for Reuters UK wrote last week:

“When you have a long-term uptrend, excesses build up along the way. We are witnessing a correction,” said Mark Mobius, executive chairman at Templeton Asset Management.

“Demand for commodities will remain at a high level in countries like China and India. If we see a serious worldwide recession, then we will see the end of the commodities boom.”

In fact, Dr. Mobius believes commodities may just be the global economy’s “saving grace.” Reuters Kevin Plumberg said on August 15:

Mark Mobius, executive chairman of Templeton Asset Management Ltd, said he believes consumer demand in emerging markets will ultimately be one of the factors keeping the global economy out of recession. Mobius is a value investor who has long touted the inherent strength of emerging markets.

“What we like are the consumer plays. As much as possible we are trying to get exposure to consumer-oriented sectors, whether that is consumer banking or retail,” he said in a phone interview from Turkey.

In addition to China, Mobius, who oversees some $40 billion in assets, likes the technology sectors in Taiwan, India and Korea. His firm has also cut down on its exposure to the commodities sector while increasing holdings in consumer-oriented sectors in South Africa and Turkey, where he said interest rate rises have brought share prices down to attractive levels.

Levent Financial District
Istanbul, Turkey

Sources:

“Commodity rout a blip”
Pratima Desai
Reuters (UK), August 15, 2008

“RPT-ANALYSIS China and co stand between world and ‘recession’”
Kevin Plumberg
Reuters, August 15, 2008

Emerging markets veteran Mark Mobius said in a Bloomberg Television interview yesterday that the Federal Reserve should lower the federal funds rate to jump-start the U.S. economy. Bloomberg’s Matthew Miller and Michael Patterson wrote yesterday:

The Federal Reserve should cut its benchmark interest rate to 1 percent to boost the economy as falling oil prices reduce the threat of inflation, investor Mark Mobius said.

“With oil prices beginning to soften, there may be a chance for them to give a boost to the economy by lowering rates again,” Mobius, 71, who oversees about $40 billion in emerging-market stocks as executive chairman at Templeton Asset Management Ltd. in Singapore, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. “That’s still in the cards, but no one really knows.”

Cape Town, South Africa

The man who is known as “The Pied Piper of Emerging Markets” also shared his thoughts about where to invest. Miller and Patterson wrote:

Mobius also said valuations for equities in Turkey and South Africa are “very attractive,” and added that he’s “very bullish” on shares of Brazilian banks…

“More and more people are beginning to see that these markets are very cheap,” Mobius said. “The companies are well managed and well run.”

Mobius was especially excited about the prospects for Brazil. He told Bloomberg:

The economy is very vibrant there, and the banks are very well run.

Source:

“Mobius Says Fed Should Cut Rates to 1% to Spur Growth (Update3)”
Matthew Miller, Michael Patterson
Bloomberg, August 5, 2008

Emerging markets veteran Mark Mobius issued a stern warning to Brazil’s stock market investors. Bloomberg’s Michael Tsang and Alexis Xydias wrote earlier today:

The 65 days that plunged Brazil into a bear market are reminding investors that Latin America’s biggest economy is still an emerging nation.

Banco Itau Holding Financeira SA’s Roberto Egydio Setubal says Brazil has been transformed after inflation dropped to 6.1 percent from 6,800 percent in April 1990 and the nation got its first investment-grade rating. Templeton Asset Management Ltd.’s Mark Mobius isn’t convinced as interest rates rise at the fastest pace in the developing world and foreign investors sell equities like never before.

“You cannot say the country has changed,” said Mobius, 71, who oversees about $40 billion in emerging-market equities at Templeton in Singapore. “The experience they’ve had in responsible government spending and balanced budgets is relatively short. Inflation was high. We all have to be very mindful that these things can happen again.”

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Tsang and Xydias noted that Mobius’ Templeton Asset Management is among several firms that have become less bullish on Brazil. Last month, Templeton favored India, China, and Russia over Brazil, according to the Bloomberg reporters.

Source:

“Brazil Broken Markets Pit Bulls Against Mobius, Bears (Update2)”
Michael Tsang, Alexis Xydias
Bloomberg, August 4, 2008

The anchor of CNBC’s “Closing Bell,” Maria Bartiromo, recently interviewed Templeton Asset Management’s emerging markets guru, Mark Mobius. The legendary investor talked about his outlook for emerging markets, and where he’s been putting his money.

Once again, pulling excerpts from the piece won’t do it justice. You can read the exchange between the “Money Honey” and the “Pied Piper of Emerging Markets” in its entirety here.

Source:

“Mark Mobius on the Outlook for Emerging Markets”
Maria Bartiromo
BusinessWeek, July 23, 2008